Wednesday, March 26, 2008

Saturday Roundup - ecological freelance edition

I’m off to another training session for my new job. I’m fairly excited about it because it’s a job that gives an immediate feeling of accomplishment and because of the time-control it offers. Now I discovered that it also offers significant control over our taxes. Woohoo!

In other news, check out this new supposedly green dream home. It’s green so it must be good for the environment, right? Wrong! I could write an essay to explain why this is another sign that some people just won’t ever get it, but seeing that I’m busy, I leave this as an exercise for the reader (I did learn something about life from reading textbooks! ).

Friendly reminder: Due to increased workload future weekend posts will be irregular or nonexistent.


This week I only participated in a couple of carnivals.

  • Carnival of Money, Growth and Happiness #34
  • Festival Of Frugality #114

Why I hate eating out

You may be surprised to know that paying $10 for a $2 meal is not my biggest problem with eating out. Rather it’s the abundance of choices on the menu. I don’t like choices. Why do I have to spend time reading a 10 page booklet to decide what to eat? If I go out to eat I don’t want to be faced with a multivariate analysis of which meal combo provides the best value in terms of price and enjoyment. Ideally I just want one binary choice: “Do I want to eat here or not?”.

If I were a gourmand, I would probably appreciate choices, but I”m not, so I will specifically pick restaurants that make the choice for me. Little Caesars Pizza has essentially three choices on the $5 menu. They have other and more expensive pizzas, but all they some to do is to require more choice in terms of which topping to select and I’m not paying for the mental anguish. I can deal with three choices. I also like Chipotle. It has an assembly line with very few choices at each station. Subway also has an assembly line but it has far too many choices. How do I know I wont pick some horrible combination of condiments and additions? I don’t. So I stick to the easy solutions.

Sometimes, though, I have to go out to eat “somewhere nice” to appease DW or for social reasons, so what do I do? I have found that every restaurant typically serves something called the “burger” or the “club sandwich”. Now I never know exactly what that entails, but I do know that every restaurant offer them. Thus by making the choice once and for all that “whenever I go somewhere, I order the burger” I have minimized the mental inconvenience of eating out. Problem solved.

If you think I’m crazy think about how you would feel if your 401k plan only allowed you to invest in single stocks and required you to perform an individual analysis of each of them. You’d either pick a stock at random but equally likely you would probably avoid investing altogether. This is how I feel about restaurant menu choices. I don’t care about food performance, so give me my “index food” aka “the burger” any day!


Related links:

  • Too Much Choice is Pure Hell

Progressive Healthcare

PROGRESSIVE HEALTHCARE....Tyler Cowen provides some highlights from a new paper by Sherry Glied on international comparisons of healthcare systems:

The best parts of the paper concern equity. It is GPs which help the poor, not additional spending on technology or surgery; see p.18 for other comparisons along these lines. Furthermore, and this you should scream from the rooftops, consider this:

...patterns of health service utilization in developed countries suggest that the marginal dollar of health care spending — money used to purchase high tech equipment or specialist services — is less progressively spent than the average dollar.

In other words, egalitarians should not allocate marginal government spending to health care.

But that's not quite right, is it? The point here isn't that healthcare spending per se is bad, but that (from a progressive viewpoint) it's sometimes poorly allocated at the margins. The bulk of the spending is fine, and, as Glied points out later, distributed pretty progressively. Still, it's well worth acknowledging the point that financing is only a part of the healthcare problem. Cost containment and efficiency are equally or more important. Thus, if we progressives advocate for a public financed healthcare system, we should also be advocating (for example) for relatively more public funding for GPs and less for the fanciest new high-tech equipment, which overwhelmingly gets installed in rich hospitals that serve rich communities. I'm down with that, and I think that most progressive healthcare analysts are too.

(Now, you may argue that this is utopian, that any publicly financed system will inevitably find itself under enormous political pressure to provide more goodies for its loudest constituencies — namely the rich, the middle class, and various interest groups. Maybe so. But that shouldn't stop us from trying to do the right thing.)

As for all that high-tech equipment, some of it turns out to be useful and some of it turns out to be a fad. If rich people feel like paying to be guinea pigs for this stuff, I'm fine with that. But I'd certainly agree that a publicly financed system ought to be careful about making any of it part of a basic healthcare package until it's well proven in the field. As progressives, our goal shouldn't be to provide gold-plated care to every person in the country, nor should it be to restrict the ability of the rich to get better service if they want to pay for it. Our goal should be to provide decent care to everyone, with the market free to operate on top of that.

iPod and other consumer electronic theft on the rise

Not surprisingly, the distinctive design of the iPod/iPhone and its earbuds make it an easy target for thievery, or so claims John Roman of the Urban Institute, in an interview with NPR's Scott Simon.

You can have a listen to the full interview at NPR's website.

Primary category: iPod

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CDOs: Murky Deal Documents Compound Woes

An article in the Financial Times, "Credit crisis lurches from bad numbers to bad writing," by Arturo Cifuentes, contains a stunning revelation: the deal documents governing CDOs are in many cases so badly written that, for instance, it isn't clear how to handle a default.

To give readers a sense of proportion, the contracts governing transactions involving large amounts of money are typically the focus of a great deal of legal attention. Negotiation of definitive agreements in M&A transactions are done on a line-by-line basis. For financings, law firms usually have standard forms that give them boilerplate for major elements of the transaction. For CDOs, which had been done in high volumes in 2003, it seems inconceivable that a good deal of contractual language wasn't largely pre set (firms and investment banks have different stylistic preferences, but the general framework and key terms ought to fall within certain well accepted parameters).

But no, the Financial Times tells us quite the reverse:
Understandably, the rating agencies have embarked on an effort to restore their shattered reputations. But, surprisingly, the risk management profession has not received the same criticism the rating agencies have.

That is odd. The fundamental assumptions of this discipline should be, if not trashed, at least re-examined critically. After all, most recent subprime-related losses were suffered by institutions that took pride in the sophistication of their risk management systems.

To summarize: the crisis so far has been an unfortunate sequence of bad decisions related to models, default probabilities, correlations, real estate valuations, expected losses, etc. In short, a massive failure of numbers.

These bad decisions, in turn, have resulted in the collapse of many investment vehicles: more than 100 collateralised debt obligations (CDOs) and structured investment vehicles (SIVs) have already entered the murky post-event of default (EOD) state. This number will grow in the coming weeks.

Unfortunately, the legal documents that govern these transactions are so poorly written – full of ambiguities, inconsistencies, "circular references" and worse, contradictions – that many investors, trustees and respective legal advisors do not know how to interpret them.

For instance, in a number of cases it is not clear whether the assets should be sold (liquidation) or let to run off (acceleration). Moreover, even the rules to distribute the money post-EOD (who gets what) are unclear.

In essence, we have gone from bad models to bad writing. From a failure of numbers to a failure of words. Which brings us to another issue: maybe the "quants" who ran the models and interpreted the results were incompetent. But what about the structured finance lawyers who drafted these legal documents? Did they read them? More relevant perhaps, did they understand what they wrote?

Asian Bonds Hit by Credit Panic

The ratchet down of the credit market Monday due to worries about Bear Stearns' solvency and Fannie Mae have produced widespread collateral damage (no pun intended).

Bloomberg reports that credit default swap prices, which rose sharply for US and European issuers, reflecting heightened worries about credit risks, have also increased for a large range of Asian borrowers.

From Bloomberg:
The cost to protect bonds in the Asia-Pacific from default surged to the highest since the gauges started as the prospect of increasingly restrictive borrowing conditions boosted demand for credit-default swaps.

Contracts tied to Malaysian government debt rose to a new high after Standard & Poor's said late yesterday private investors may ``stand aside'' after the ruling coalition suffered its worst election result in 50 years....

The cost to protect Japanese investment-grade corporate bonds has risen more than 10-fold since May as losses on securities tied to U.S. subprime mortgages increase, pushing up funding costs in the world's capital markets. One or more of four main indexes in Asia, which started in 2004, have set records on about half of the trading days this year.

The Markit iTraxx Japan Series 8 benchmark index rose 17 basis points to 197 basis points as of 10:55 a.m. in Tokyo and earlier traded as high as 201 basis points, according to Morgan Stanley. The previous Series 7 benchmark reached a low of 16 basis points on May 17, CMA Datavision prices show....

Credit-default swaps on Malaysia's government bonds rose 16 basis points to a record 123 basis points, according to BNP Paribas prices. That means it costs $123,000 a year to protect $10 million of the country's debt from default for five years.

Concern the credit crisis is deepening in Asia drove borrowing costs between Australia's lenders to the highest since April 1995. The three-month bank bill swap rate rose to 8.11 percent compared with 8.02 percent yesterday and 7.50 percent a month ago. The Markit iTraxx Australia Series 8 Index climbed 18 basis points to breach 200 basis points for the first time.

The Australian benchmark for credit-default swaps has increased almost five-fold since the current Series 8 index was introduced on Sept. 20, data compiled by Bloomberg shows. New benchmarks are created every six months when firms are added or dropped depending how actively they are traded.

``There are fears of more hedge funds unwinding as banks are reducing leverage through their prime brokerage accounts,'' said Mark Bayley, director of credit and structuring at ABN Amro Holding NV in Sydney. ``There are more and more buyers of credit protection and no sellers around and it's pretty difficult to see where we are going to get positive news from.''....

The index of 20 high-risk, high-yield borrowers in Asia outside Japan increased 20 basis points to 640 basis points and the investment-grade benchmark increased 17 basis points to 217 basis points. The indexes gain when perceptions of credit quality deteriorate.....

``The market is very illiquid. People are sidelined because even if the market rallies, it only lasts for one or two hours,'' Rattanavan of BNP Paribas said.

Grand Central Free Number

I wrote previously about Grand Central with T-Mobile combo. Even if you don’t have T-Mobile’s Fav 5 or Sprint’s Fav 3, you should still sign up since it’s free through this special link. Unlike before, no invitation is needed. You can get a free phone number from any city you want. I can use this for my future business. Grand Central features include screen callers, call record, block callers, notifications, and many more.

Just for kicks, I’m going to do a prank call on a friend of mine. It’s payback time. She made a prank call one time telling me about her leaving a scene of an accident that was her fault. I’m going to call her and leave her a voicemail..saying “hey, I just moved to your city ” ..” this is my new number..call me back ” muaaahaha.

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Coaching Operations Manager (West London and Middlesex)

Wage range £10000 per year Reason for vacancy Rapid expansion of new business necessitates creation of new post of Coaching Operations Manager to enable quality assurance and day to day management of coaching team Initial hours 25 hours per week Wednesday to Sunday (inclusive) with possibilities of over time. Duration Initial 3 month contract with view to making a permanent position subject to probationary terms. Details Football Sports Coach Manager? Love working with people? If you are a great sports coach (Fa Level 1 football or equivalent coach manager qualifications or sports coaching experience required) have supervisory or management experience are confident and out-going flexible and well organised great with young children 100 reliable and interested in contributing to the success of an exciting children s activity business then we would love to hear from you You must have excellent verbal communication skills and be physically fit for this role which involves both lead coaching football based physical activity classes for young children and managing a team of similar coaches. Will be expected to travel within M25 to variety of locations. Also recruiting part time coaches for approx 6 hours per week on hourly pay of £10 to lead and assist football classes for children aged 2-5yrs.

Exciting New Personal training Opputunities 28k 40k) (Guilford,Woking,Croydon, Ewell,)

We have positions in GuilfordWokingCroydonMichamEwell We offer you Great Earnings a fixed rate rental system means you keep 80 of what you generate Average Salary for the first year of £28000 nbt Business Support working with an experienced Pt manager and mentor for your first 6 weeks to get your clientele Rent Free Training and Development huge selection of training courses and workshops through the top education providers in the fitness world Marketing Support all business cards profiles flyers and brochures designed free Be part of an experienced Team a well established culture of Pt in our clubs results in trainers getting busy quickly Security Plinsurance Private Medical Cover and Critical Injury and Illness is covered by us Own your Business Yes you re still a freelancer With all of the above benefits at no additional cost to you. Reps Level 2 and 3 For more information on this exciting career opportunity please contact Julian Smallbone 079 854 59153 Email-juliansmallbone aol.com